Gestión de riesgos y toma de decisiones en inventarios : un análisis integral en las farmacias Hiperfarmacia y La Patrona.

Abstract

This project focuses on risk management and decision making in inventory management at Hiperfarmacia and La Patrona pharmacies. The main objective is to offer solutions to avoid or minimize product overstock and optimize inventory control for more informed decision making when making purchases. To achieve this objective, two different approaches were used. In the case of La Patrona pharmacy, a sales forecast model was used based on historical data for the months of July and August. In contrast, for the Hiperfarmacia pharmacy, an approach oriented to classify the consumption preferences of Complex B syrup flavors was adopted, given that a sales history for each product was not available. In the latter case, a survey of 50 people was conducted to obtain the necessary information. All the analysis was carried out using the R Studio tool, which facilitated the application of the forecasting model using Forecast techniques and the use of the K-means algorithm for classification. The visual analysis of the results made it possible to formulate precise recommendations so that pharmacies can make better decisions when making future purchases from suppliers.