Análisis del ecosistema de inversión en Ecuador para impulsar el atractivo del sector agroindustrial ante el capital internacional.

Abstract

This research focuses on analyzing the investment environment in Ecuador and its effect on the positioning of the agro-industry sector in relation to international capital during the period 2010–2024. It is based on the premise that the attraction of foreign direct investment is explained by the articulation between macroeconomic, institutional, and logistical variables which, collectively, shape the productive environment. Under a quantitative approach and a non-experimental descriptive-correlational design with quarterly frequency, the sector’s attractiveness was approximated through the growth of agro-industry export volumes, while the investment ecosystem was represented by Gross Domestic Product, inflation, country risk, the Rule of Law, and the LPI Score. Likewise, the analysis incorporated descriptive statistics, correlation matrices, and the estimation of a multiple linear regression model, thereby making it possible to assess not only simple associations but also structural relationships among the variables. The results show that economic growth, measured by GDP, and logistical performance, captured through the LPI Score, constitute the main factors associated with agro-industry export performance. The model demonstrates moderate explanatory capacity, confirming the structural relevance of both components within the Ecuadorian investment ecosystem. Based on these findings, strategic guidelines are proposed to strengthen productive planning and to develop specialized logistical capabilities that consolidate the agro-industry sector as a competitive destination for foreign capital.