Análisis de los efectos del acuerdo comercial entre Ecuador y la Unión Europea en el sector agrícola del Guayas.

Abstract

Agriculture is considered an activity which generates most of the income for Ecuadorian families, so it is of great importance to the country. Agricultural productivity is influenced by trade agreements, forthis reason, the trade agreement with the European Union will have a positive effectin the agricultural products exported out of the country, making Ecuadorian products competitive among the European market, achieving growth in exports duringthe analyzed period 2018-2022. The main objective of this research is to analyze the effects of trade agreements between Ecuador and the European Union as well as the competitiveness of banana, cocoa, plantain, coffee bean and sugar cane from the Guayas province. Using Time Series statistical model, it was shown that variable x has incidence in the variable y, in other words, the agreement will have a positive effect on the exports of representative products from the province of Guayas to the EU in the period 2018-2022, eliminating the decrease rate and maintaining an increase tendency. Besides the results of the statistical model, a survey over different exporting companies and authorities of each sector, prove theimportance of the signing agreement and they affirm without doubt, the exports will have an increase in comparison to the previous years, and the competitiveness of the products will see an influence by signing of the commercial agreement.