Factores de riesgo en la sucesión de empresas familiares en Guayaquil.

Abstract

Several studies on family businesses point to the importance of the succession of the leader – founder in his retirement. There are few companies in which, once the "trauma" of succession has passed, it is the family itself that continues to maintain control of the company; global studies show success in only 30% of family businesses succession occurs in the second generation, 12% in the third generation, and only 3% in the fourth generation. The research seeks to link the risks of business succession that are visualized in the family companies of the city, taking into account that the greatest concentration of these is given in Guayaquil. The “Experts” method is used in the interpretation of the results, as an algorithm of aggregation of opinions captured in interviews and surveys, because experts, participants and citizens are consulted, since they represent the perceptive group – receiver, of the drift that takes the succession. In this way we obtain criteria that converge towards a relevant interpretation as to the current risk situation of the city. The algorithm can serve future ways to address this type of research.